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By the Numbers

Real Estate Market Update

Curious about what the market’s doing in your neighborhood? Whether you’re thinking of buying, selling, or just staying informed, our local real estate market updates help you make smarter decisions. Below, you'll find the latest stats, trends, and expert commentary—broken down by county, city, and even neighborhood. This page is updated monthly with insights from The Dunnican Team’s on-the-ground expertise.

 

City of Farmersville, TX

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

$301,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

CLOSED SALES

41

CLOSED SALES

ACTIVE LISTINGS

91

ACTIVE LISTINGS

MONTHS INVENTORY

10.2

MONTHS INVENTORY

The Dunnican Team

Farmersville, TX Housing Market Update

Farmersville's Q2 2026 market is almost entirely a new construction story, and the Lakehaven subdivision accounts for the substantial majority of MLS activity in this small Collin County community. The data reflects that reality in every metric: a median home age of 0 years, a 46.4% jump in closed sales to 41, a 122% surge in active listings to 91, and 10.2 months of supply — all driven by builder release timing rather than broad market conditions. The reported −7.1% median price decline to $301,000 and −13.4% per-square-foot drop to $145.60 reflect builder pricing strategy in a competitive new construction environment, with larger homes (2,169 sq ft median, up from 1,559) closing at lower per-unit rates. For buyers, Farmersville offers some of the most affordable new construction available in the Collin County corridor, concentrated in the $200,000–$399,000 range, with real negotiating room and meaningful builder incentives available on the current spec inventory. For resale sellers, the challenge is direct — pricing and presentation must account for builder competition that includes rate buydowns and upgrade incentives. The most useful number in this report isn't the median price — it's the 10.2 months of supply, which tells buyers they have time, selection, and leverage in a market where builder activity is setting the price floor.

Farmersville, TX Housing Market Update – Q2 2026 | July 2026

Reporting Period: April 1–June 30, 2026 • Data via NTREIS / Texas REALTORS® Data Relevance Project

⚠ New Construction Market — Read with Context: Farmersville's Q2 2026 data is heavily shaped by new construction activity, particularly within the Lakehaven subdivision, which historically accounts for the majority of Farmersville MLS records. The median home age reported is 0 years — meaning virtually all Q2 closings were brand-new homes. The dramatic shifts in active listings (+122%), months of inventory (10.2 months), and price per square foot (−13.4%) reflect a surge in builder-released spec inventory rather than conditions in the broader Farmersville resale market. These figures should be interpreted in that context throughout this report.

Key Highlights | Farmersville Housing Market Update – Q2 2026

  • Median Sale Price: $301,000 (−7.1% vs. Q2 2025 — primarily new construction; see note above)
  • Closed Sales: 41 (+46.4% vs. Q2 2025)
  • Active Listings: 91 (+122.0% vs. Q2 2025 — driven by new construction spec release)
  • Months of Inventory: 10.2 (+5.2 months vs. Q2 2025 — deep buyer-leaning; reflects builder inventory)

Q2 2026 Farmersville Market Commentary

PRICES
Farmersville posted a median sale price of $301,000 in Q2 2026, a 7.1% decline from Q2 2025. Price per square foot fell a steeper 13.4% to $145.60, while median home size grew from 1,559 to 2,169 square feet — an increase of more than 600 square feet. That combination is significant: larger homes closing at a lower per-square-foot rate points directly to new construction builder pricing. The median home age recorded for Q2 2026 is 0 years, confirming that essentially all closings this quarter were brand-new homes. Builders bringing larger product to market at aggressively competitive price points — particularly within Lakehaven and other active Farmersville communities — can produce per-square-foot figures that are lower than resale values without indicating any decline in what existing homeowners' properties are worth. The 13.4% per-sq-ft decline reflects builder pricing strategy in a competitive new construction environment, not a broad erosion of Farmersville home values.

SALES ACTIVITY
Closed sales rose to 41 in Q2 2026, up 46.4% from 28 in Q2 2025 — a meaningful increase in a market that has historically been thin on transaction volume. That improvement reflects new construction deliveries reaching closing stage rather than a surge in resale demand, but closings are closings — buyers are committing and transactions are completing. Days on market improved modestly to 61 days, down 5 days from Q2 2025, suggesting homes that reached the market found buyers at a consistent pace. Days to close, however, jumped 20 days to 38 — a notable increase likely reflecting new construction contract-to-close timelines, which typically run longer than resale due to builder processes, lender requirements, and certificate-of-occupancy timing. The close-to-original-list-price ratio came in at 96.2%, down slightly from 97.0% — builders are leaving some room for negotiation, which is common when spec inventory is elevated.

INVENTORY
Active listings surged to 91 in Q2 2026, up 122.0% from just 9 in Q2 2025. That is the most dramatic inventory increase in this report cycle by a wide margin — and it is almost entirely a function of new construction spec homes being released to the MLS. When builders phase a community and release multiple homes simultaneously, or when a new section of a subdivision opens for sale, the active listing count can jump dramatically in a single quarter. Months of inventory reached 10.2 — up 5.2 months year over year — placing Farmersville in deep buyer-leaning territory by conventional metrics. In a new construction context, however, 10.2 months of inventory represents available spec homes across a builder's pipeline, not a sign of distressed or motivated sellers. The price distribution reflects almost entirely affordable new construction: 46.3% of Q2 sales were in the $200,000–$299,999 range and 41.5% in the $300,000–$399,000 band. No sales were recorded above $499,000.

MARKET BALANCE
At 10.2 months of inventory, Farmersville sits firmly in buyer-leaning territory by any measure — and buyers shopping new construction here genuinely have leverage. Builders with elevated spec inventory are motivated to move homes, which typically translates into incentives: rate buydowns, closing cost contributions, appliance packages, and design center upgrades. The 96.2% close-to-list ratio tells you negotiations are happening, but the most valuable negotiating in a new construction market often isn't about list price — it's about builder incentives, upgrade allowances, and financing terms. Resale sellers in Farmersville face direct competition from builder product at accessible price points, which requires careful pricing strategy and attention to condition and presentation.

What Sellers Need to Know

  • With 91 active listings and 10.2 months of inventory — much of it new construction from builders — resale sellers face direct, well-funded competition. Builders can offer incentives resale sellers typically cannot match; your advantage is location, established landscaping, and known condition.
  • The median price decline of 7.1% reflects new construction pricing at scale, not what your existing home is worth. Have a current comparative market analysis done on your specific property — don't price to a new construction comp without adjusting for differences in product type and condition.
  • The 61-day days on market figure reflects that homes are still moving. Pricing accurately from day one is essential — overpriced resale listings competing against builder inventory rarely see improvement over time without a price reduction.
  • The 96.2% close-to-list ratio means buyers are negotiating. Build a realistic cushion into your pricing strategy, but keep it proportionate — excessive overpricing in a builder-competitive environment will produce extended market time.

What Buyers Need to Know

  • Farmersville offers some of the most accessible new construction price points in the Collin County area, with the majority of Q2 sales in the $200,000–$399,999 range. For buyers prioritizing affordability and new construction quality, this market is worth a serious look.
  • With 10.2 months of inventory, you have real leverage — especially with builders carrying elevated spec inventory. Ask about rate buydowns, closing cost assistance, and upgrade incentives before signing anything. These are often worth more than a list price reduction.
  • The days-to-close figure of 38 days reflects new construction timelines, which can be longer than resale. Plan your financing and interim housing accordingly if you're under contract on a spec home that isn't quite finished.
  • The 96.2% close-to-list ratio tells you negotiations happen here. Don't be afraid to make a reasonable offer below list — especially on spec homes that have been available for multiple weeks.

2026 Farmersville Housing Market Forecast

Farmersville's second-half 2026 outlook hinges largely on the pace at which builders work through the current spec inventory backlog. At 10.2 months of supply, there is enough builder inventory on the ground that absorption will take several quarters to normalize — unless buyer demand accelerates meaningfully. If mortgage rates ease in Q3 or Q4, Farmersville's affordable price point ($200,000–$399,000 for new construction) positions it well to capture first-time buyers and value-oriented move-up buyers who have been waiting for rate relief. That demand exists; the rate environment is the primary variable.

As long as builder spec inventory remains elevated, expect per-square-foot pricing to stay under modest pressure and incentive programs to remain active. Once the pipeline normalizes — likely 2–3 quarters out if current absorption continues — the underlying demand for affordable Collin County product should stabilize pricing and potentially allow modest appreciation to resume. Resale sellers will continue to face builder competition through at least the end of 2026, making pricing accuracy and presentation quality non-negotiable. Overall, Farmersville is a buyer-favorable market in the near term, with the trajectory depending heavily on how quickly the new construction inventory is absorbed.

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Questions About the Farmersville Market?

Whether you're comparing new construction options in Farmersville or thinking about how to position a resale home in a builder-competitive environment, The Dunnican Team knows this market and can help you navigate it with confidence. Reach out anytime.

Source: NTREIS MLS / Texas REALTORS® Data Relevance Project — Farmersville, TX, Q2 2026 (April 1–June 30, 2026) with Q2 2025 comparison metrics. Data via MetroTex Association of REALTORS®. Analysis provided in partnership with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. All figures reflect All Residential (SF + attached) — All Construction Types. Note: New construction activity, particularly within the Lakehaven subdivision, accounts for the substantial majority of Farmersville MLS activity and materially influences all reported metrics.

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Frequently Asked Questions – Farmersville Housing Market Update Q2 2026

Is it a good time to sell a home in Farmersville in 2026?

Farmersville is a challenging market for resale sellers right now, and the primary reason is the scale of new construction activity — particularly within the Lakehaven subdivision, which accounts for the majority of Farmersville MLS records. With 91 active listings, 10.2 months of supply, and a close-to-original-list ratio of 96.2%, builders are actively pricing and incentivizing to move spec inventory in ways that set the competitive benchmark for every resale home in the community. Resale sellers who price accurately to current market conditions, highlight what distinguishes their home from new construction — known condition, established lot, no builder wait time, negotiable terms — and present at a high level can still find buyers. The 41 closings in Q2 confirm demand exists. What doesn't work is pricing to 2024 peak values in a market where 10.2 months of supply gives buyers the time and alternatives to be selective.

Is it a good time to buy a home in Farmersville in 2026?

For buyers seeking affordable new construction in the Collin County corridor, Farmersville's current conditions are among the most favorable available. With 10.2 months of supply, 91 active listings — the majority new construction — and a 96.2% close-to-list ratio, buyers have real selection, real time, and real room to negotiate. The $200,000–$399,000 price range that dominates 87.8% of Q2 activity is among the most accessible in Collin County. In a builder-dominated market at this supply level, the most valuable negotiating often happens on incentives rather than price — ask specifically about rate buydown programs, closing cost contributions, design upgrade packages, and appliance allowances before finalizing any offer. These programs can add $20,000–$40,000 in effective value beyond what a list price reduction alone would deliver. If mortgage rates ease later in 2026, this price point and location are among the first likely to see renewed buyer competition as rate-sensitive first-time buyers re-enter the market.

What role does Lakehaven play in Farmersville's market statistics?

Lakehaven is the dominant force in Farmersville's MLS data — historically accounting for roughly 69% of all Farmersville residential records in NTREIS. When Lakehaven is actively delivering homes, Farmersville's active listings, closed sales, and inventory metrics all reflect that builder activity as much as they reflect the broader community's resale market. The 122% jump in active listings to 91 in Q2 2026 and the 0-year median home age both confirm that new construction releases — not resale market dynamics — are driving the headline figures. For anyone trying to understand Farmersville's resale market specifically, the citywide statistics are a blunt instrument. Individual resale comparables pulled from NTREIS provide a more accurate picture of what existing homes are actually selling for and how long they're taking to find buyers.

Are Farmersville home prices rising or falling in 2026?

Falling on a per-square-foot basis — and that decline reflects builder pricing strategy more than a change in the value of existing Farmersville homes. The median price per square foot declined 13.4% to $145.60 as median home size jumped from 1,559 to 2,169 square feet — builders are delivering larger homes at lower per-unit rates to remain competitive in an elevated-rate environment. For resale homes specifically, the per-square-foot softening is real but reflects competitive pressure from builder pricing rather than a fundamental deterioration in community values. The most important pricing context for any Farmersville home — new or resale — is what specific comparable homes of similar size and type have actually closed for in the past six months, not the aggregate median which is heavily influenced by which builder phases happened to deliver in any given quarter.

How competitive is the Farmersville real estate market right now?

Farmersville is firmly buyer-favorable at 10.2 months of supply — one of the higher inventory readings in this report cycle. With 91 active listings against 41 quarterly closings, supply significantly exceeds current absorption pace, and buyers have real time and meaningful alternatives. The 96.2% close-to-list ratio tells you some negotiating happens, but in a new construction market the most competition-relevant dynamic is between builders rather than between buyers. When multiple builders are simultaneously trying to move spec inventory in the same community, they tend to compete through incentive programs rather than pure price cuts — which means a buyer who negotiates only on list price may be leaving meaningful value on the table compared to one who negotiates holistically across price, rate buydowns, and builder-paid closing costs. The most active segments were $200,000–$299,999 (46.3%) and $300,000–$399,000 (41.5%) — nearly 88% of all Q2 activity concentrated in those two accessible bands.

Exploring new construction in Farmersville or thinking about your options in the Collin County corridor? Contact The Dunnican Team — we know this market and can help you navigate builder negotiations and resale decisions with confidence.

Farmersville Real Estate Overview

Small-Town Character, Wide-Open Space, and Room to Grow in Collin County

About Farmersville, TX

Farmersville is a historic small town in eastern Collin County, sitting at the crossroads of US-380 and SH-78 — about 40 miles northeast of Dallas and 20 miles northwest of Greenville. Best known as the birthplace of Audie Murphy, America's most decorated combat soldier of World War II, Farmersville carries a deep sense of Texas heritage that shapes its community character to this day.

What draws buyers here now is a combination that's increasingly hard to find in the DFW metro: genuinely affordable land, a slower pace of life, and meaningful proximity to growth corridors that are steadily pushing northeast. With Collin County continuing to expand and US-380 becoming one of the most active development corridors in North Texas, Farmersville sits in a position that's attracting both homebuyers looking for value and investors watching long-term land appreciation.

The town itself remains authentically small — a historic downtown square, a tight-knit community, and wide stretches of open land that feel a world away from the suburban density to the west. For buyers who want acreage, privacy, and room to breathe without leaving Collin County, Farmersville is worth a serious look.

Homes for Sale in Farmersville, TX

Real estate in Farmersville offers a range that's rare this close to the DFW Metroplex. You'll find everything from modestly priced homes on standard lots in established neighborhoods to multi-acre tracts, custom rural builds, and working ranch properties. The price-per-acre here is meaningfully lower than in Rockwall County or the core Collin County cities, which continues to attract buyers priced out of those markets or simply seeking more land for their budget.

Property types include:

Affordable single-family homes in established Farmersville neighborhoods, well-suited for buyers seeking value in Collin County

Acreage properties and rural tracts, ranging from small hobby farms to large working ranches with fencing, ponds, and outbuildings

New construction on larger lots, as builders follow the US-380 growth corridor eastward into Farmersville and the surrounding area

Custom builds on raw land, for buyers who want to design their home from the ground up with space and flexibility that closer-in suburbs simply don't offer

Agricultural and equestrian properties, with the infrastructure and zoning to support livestock, crops, or recreational land use

For buyers coming from higher-priced markets in Rockwall County or the core Collin County cities, the value proposition in Farmersville is compelling — especially for those willing to trade a shorter commute for more land and lower price points.

Why Buyers Are Choosing Farmersville

Farmersville is attracting a specific kind of buyer — one who has done the math on what their budget buys in Frisco versus what it buys on a few acres in eastern Collin County, and decided the land wins. But it's not just about price. The community has a genuine identity, a functioning historic downtown, and a sense of place that newer master-planned suburbs simply cannot replicate.

Top reasons buyers are making the move:

Collin County schools and services, with Farmersville ISD serving the community with a small-school environment that many families actively prefer

Meaningful land value at accessible price points, with acreage properties available at a fraction of what comparable land costs in Rockwall or Wylie

US-380 corridor growth, positioning Farmersville along one of the most active expansion routes in North Texas — a long-term value signal for land holders

Low commercial density and genuine small-town character, with a historic downtown square, local businesses, and community events that reflect real Texas heritage

Distance from suburban congestion, with the open landscape and slower rhythm that draws buyers who have lived in denser suburbs and want something different

For buyers who've been priced out of the more competitive Northeast Dallas or Rockwall County markets, or who simply want more space and a different pace, Farmersville offers a real alternative — not a compromise.

Your Local Experts in Farmersville Real Estate

Buying or selling property in a rural and semi-rural market like Farmersville requires a different skill set than transacting in the core suburban markets. Acreage pricing, agricultural zoning, well and septic considerations, and the nuances of land valuation all require experience that goes beyond standard residential knowledge.

Cindy and Cory Dunnican of The Dunnican Team at Coldwell Banker Apex, Realtors® have guided buyers and sellers across Collin County and the broader Northeast Dallas corridor for more than 25 years. Whether you're evaluating a rural tract, navigating the purchase of an acreage property, or planning to list land that doesn't fit a standard MLS template, they bring the market knowledge and strategic approach to get it done right.

If Farmersville is on your radar — as a place to live, a land investment, or a property to sell — Cindy and Cory are ready to walk you through it with honest guidance and local perspective.

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