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By the Numbers

Real Estate Market Update

Curious about what the market’s doing in your neighborhood? Whether you’re thinking of buying, selling, or just staying informed, our local real estate market updates help you make smarter decisions. Below, you'll find the latest stats, trends, and expert commentary—broken down by county, city, and even neighborhood. This page is updated monthly with insights from The Dunnican Team’s on-the-ground expertise.

 

City of Flower Mound, Texas

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

$688,000

MEDIAN SALES PRICE

CLOSED SALES

115

CLOSED SALES

ACTIVE LISTINGS

248

ACTIVE LISTINGS

MONTHS INVENTORY

3.2

MONTHS INVENTORY

The Dunnican Team

Flower Mound, TX Housing Market Update

Flower Mound's Q2 2026 data stands apart from virtually every other market in this report — and not by a small margin. While most DFW suburbs are reporting price softening, rising days on market, and declining close-to-list ratios, Flower Mound delivered a 19.8% jump in closed sales to 339, a $650,000 median price that held essentially flat at +0.3%, a 98.0% close-to-list ratio that actually improved from 97.6% a year ago, and 26-day average days on market — down 2 days from Q2 2025. Median price per square foot rose 0.4% to $238.12, confirming the flat median is a genuine value signal rather than a composition artifact. Active listings rose modestly to 283 (+4.8%) and months of supply edged up just 0.1 to 3.6 — seller-leaning territory where absorption is running materially ahead of new listing activity. The 28-year median home age confirms Flower Mound is a fully built-out, resale-driven market with no meaningful new construction pipeline competing with existing homes — a structural supply constraint that underpins pricing stability. In a quarter where the broader DFW narrative is softening and correction, Flower Mound's data reads like a market that either never fully softened or has already recovered. Either way, the numbers are among the most compelling in the region.

Flower Mound, TX Housing Market Update – Q2 2026 | July 2026

Reporting Period: April 1–June 30, 2026 • Data via NTREIS / Texas REALTORS® Data Relevance Project

Key Highlights | Flower Mound Housing Market Update – Q2 2026

  • Median Sale Price: $650,000 (+0.3% vs. Q2 2025)
  • Closed Sales: 339 (+19.8% vs. Q2 2025)
  • Active Listings: 283 (+4.8% vs. Q2 2025)
  • Months of Inventory: 3.6 (+0.1 months vs. Q2 2025)

Q2 2026 Flower Mound Market Commentary

PRICES
Flower Mound's median sale price held at $650,000 in Q2 2026, up a nominal 0.3% from Q2 2025 — effectively flat, which in a broadly softening DFW environment is actually a strong outcome. Median price per square foot came in at $238.12, up 0.4% year over year, consistent with the overall median. Median home size declined from 3,045 to 2,809 square feet — a shift toward somewhat smaller homes closing in Q2 — but since both the overall median and the per-square-foot figure are essentially flat, no distortion is created. The pricing story in Flower Mound for Q2 2026 is straightforward: values are holding. In a market with a $650,000 median, price stability in the current rate environment is a genuine sign of underlying demand strength.

SALES ACTIVITY
Buyer follow-through surged in Q2 2026. Closed sales reached 339 — a 19.8% jump from 283 in Q2 2025. That's one of the strongest sales volume increases in this report batch, backed by complementary pace data: days on market improved to just 26 days, down 2 from Q2 2025's 28, and the close-to-original-list-price ratio ticked up to 98.0% from 97.6%. When sales volume rises, pace improves, and close-to-list ratios increase simultaneously, it paints a consistent picture of a market where demand is outrunning the narrative of DFW-wide softening. Days to close also improved by 2 days to 29 — the full transaction timeline from list to close now averages just 55 days, down 4 from a year ago.

INVENTORY
Active listings rose modestly to 283 in Q2 2026, up 4.8% from 270 in Q2 2025 — a measured increase that has not meaningfully altered market balance. Months of inventory edged up just 0.1 to 3.6, essentially unchanged. With 339 homes closing in a quarter against 283 active listings, absorption is extremely efficient. The price distribution reflects Flower Mound's premium character: 39.9% of Q2 sales were in the $500,000–$749,000 range, 19.1% at $1M or above, and 17.3% in the $750,000–$999,000 band. Homes above $500,000 account for more than 76% of all Q2 closings. The 28-year median home age reflects mature, well-established neighborhoods with limited new construction pressure.

MARKET BALANCE
At 3.6 months of inventory with a 26-day average days on market and a 98.0% close-to-list ratio, Flower Mound is operating in seller-leaning conditions that are tighter in practice than the inventory number alone suggests. Homes priced correctly are moving in under a month at essentially full ask. The 19.8% surge in closed sales reflects real buyer engagement, not a statistical artifact. Flower Mound's combination of top-tier schools, established community character, and premium price point attracts a specific, motivated buyer pool that continues to show up in Q2 data despite elevated rates and broader market uncertainty.

What Sellers Need to Know

  • Closed sales jumped 19.8% year over year — buyer activity in Flower Mound is meaningfully higher than a year ago. The demand is there; accurate pricing puts you in front of it.
  • The 98.0% close-to-list ratio — up from 97.6% — tells you buyers are paying close to full price. This is not a market where you need to over-discount. Price correctly and let the buyer pool work.
  • At 26 days on market, homes are moving fast. If you're not generating showings and offers in the first three weeks, re-evaluate the price before the listing goes stale.
  • Active listings rose only 4.8% while sales grew nearly 20% — absorption is running well ahead of supply growth. That dynamic favors sellers and provides a structural floor under pricing.

What Buyers Need to Know

  • Flower Mound is one of the most competitive markets in this report — 26-day average DOM and 98.0% close-to-list. Well-priced homes are moving in under a month at essentially full ask. Come pre-approved and ready to move decisively.
  • The $500,000–$749,000 band represents 39.9% of sales — the most active segment. Expect real competition and limited room to negotiate on correctly priced homes in that range.
  • The $1M+ segment accounts for 19.1% of sales. If you're in that range, the buyer pool is smaller but still active. Be prepared to compete on homes that check the right boxes for school zone, lot, and condition.
  • Median price is flat year over year at $650,000. This market is not giving back value. Don't expect a correction to create buying opportunity here — buy for the right long-term reasons.

2026 Flower Mound Housing Market Forecast

Flower Mound enters the second half of 2026 as one of the most stable premium markets in the DFW area. With sales volume up nearly 20%, pricing flat to marginally positive, inventory barely changed, and close-to-list ratios improving, the underlying data does not show the softening visible in many other DFW submarkets. If this trajectory holds through Q3, expect days on market to remain in the 25–30 day range and pricing to hold near the $640,000–$660,000 median. The 28-year median home age means supply is structurally limited to resale — no new construction pipeline to expand inventory meaningfully, which provides a durable constraint on supply growth.

If mortgage rates ease in the back half of 2026, Flower Mound is among the DFW submarkets most likely to see an immediate demand response — move-up and luxury buyers who have been waiting often target established communities with top school districts and proven resale performance. The risk scenario is limited but real: if rates stay elevated through year-end and broader softening accelerates, some price sensitivity could emerge in the $750,000–$1M range where buyers are most financing-sensitive. Overall, Flower Mound's fundamentals remain among the strongest in the metro — expect it to continue outperforming the broader DFW average through 2026.

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Questions About the Flower Mound Market?

Whether you're buying or selling in Flower Mound, The Dunnican Team works across DFW's established premium communities and can help you navigate this market with clarity and confidence. Reach out anytime.

Source: NTREIS MLS / Texas REALTORS® Data Relevance Project — Flower Mound, TX, Q2 2026 (April 1–June 30, 2026) with Q2 2025 comparison metrics. Data via MetroTex Association of REALTORS®. Analysis provided in partnership with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. All figures reflect All Residential (SF + attached) — All Construction Types.

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Frequently Asked Questions – Flower Mound Housing Market Update Q2 2026

Is it a good time to sell a home in Flower Mound in 2026?

Flower Mound is one of the strongest seller markets in the DFW area right now — and the data makes that case unambiguously. Closed sales rose 19.8% to 339 while active listings grew just 4.8% to 283, meaning demand is outpacing supply growth by a wide margin. With quarterly closings essentially matching the available listing pool, the market is absorbing inventory at near full capacity. The close-to-original-list ratio improved from 97.6% to 98.0% — sellers are achieving slightly better recovery relative to asking price than they were a year ago, which is the opposite direction from almost every other DFW market this quarter. Months of supply edged up just 0.1 to 3.6 — seller-leaning territory. Days on market averaged 26, down 2 from a year ago — homes are finding buyers faster. For sellers who have been waiting for the right moment, Flower Mound's Q2 2026 data suggests the market has arrived at it. Accurate pricing gets you to a 26-day sale at 98% of list. Overpricing in a market this active is the only real risk — the buyer pool is present and engaged, but it isn't uninformed.

Is it a good time to buy a home in Flower Mound in 2026?

Buyers in Flower Mound need to approach this market with clear eyes about what the data shows — this is not a buyer's market, and waiting for conditions to improve in your favor is unlikely to pay off. At 3.6 months of supply, a 98.0% close-to-list ratio, and 26-day average days on market, correctly priced homes are moving at near full price in under a month. The $500,000–$749,000 band at 39.9% of Q2 sales is the most active and most competitive segment — buyers here should be pre-approved, have their priorities clearly defined, and be prepared to write clean, compelling offers without extended contingency periods. That said, buying in Flower Mound at $650,000 median with flat pricing and improving close-to-list ratios is buying into a market with strong long-term fundamentals — established ISD reputation, community character, location, and no new construction pipeline to dilute values. The question isn't whether it's a good time in absolute terms; it's whether you're prepared to compete effectively in a market that is performing at or near its peak.

Why is Flower Mound outperforming the rest of the DFW market in 2026?

Several structural factors converge in Flower Mound that aren't present in markets showing softer performance. First, supply is structurally constrained — a 28-year median home age means the community is fully built out with no meaningful new construction pipeline adding competing inventory. Every home that sells in Flower Mound is a resale, and resale supply is controlled by homeowner decisions rather than builder production schedules. Second, the community's identity — top-tier schools, established neighborhood character, location within the DFW metro, and the lifestyle it delivers at the $500,000–$1M+ price point — attracts a specific, motivated, and financially qualified buyer who isn't easily redirected to a different community. Third, the rate lock-in effect that has suppressed selling activity in many DFW markets appears to be less pronounced here, or is being offset by lifestyle-driven move decisions that are less sensitive to mortgage rate optimization. When supply stays tight, demand stays consistent, and the buyer profile stays qualified, pricing holds and absorption accelerates — which is exactly what the Q2 data shows.

How long are homes sitting on the market in Flower Mound?

Homes that closed in Q2 2026 averaged just 26 days on market — down 2 days from Q2 2025's 28, and among the fastest paces of any market in this report cycle. Days to close improved 2 days to 29, putting the total list-to-close pipeline at 55 days — down 4 from a year ago. In practical terms: a correctly priced Flower Mound home listed today should expect an offer within 3–4 weeks and a closing approximately 4 weeks after that. That timeline is significantly faster than the DFW metro average of 57 days on market and 90 total days list-to-close. For sellers, 26 days means listing preparation matters enormously — there is no time to gradually improve presentation once the home hits the MLS. For buyers, 26 days means if a home checks your boxes, waiting even a week to schedule a showing or submit an offer is a meaningful risk of losing it to another buyer.

How competitive is the Flower Mound real estate market right now?

Flower Mound is the most competitive established market in this report batch — and the data supports that characterization across multiple dimensions. A 98.0% close-to-list ratio means buyers are paying within 2% of original asking price. A 26-day average days on market means homes are gone in under a month. A 19.8% jump in closed sales with only 4.8% more listings means buyer activity is dramatically outpacing supply growth. The $500,000–$749,000 range at 39.9% of sales is the most competitive segment — buyers targeting that band should expect the least room to negotiate and the most urgency to act. The $1M+ segment at 19.1% of sales is active and competitive by luxury standards, though qualified buyers here typically have more time to evaluate than in the mid-range. The bottom line for buyers: come prepared, come pre-approved, and come with a clear decision framework. The 98% close-to-list ratio tells you hesitation is the most expensive thing a buyer can bring to a Flower Mound showing.

Buying or selling in Flower Mound? Contact The Dunnican Team — we work across DFW's established premium communities and can help you compete effectively in one of the region's strongest markets.

Flower Mound Real Estate Overview

Master-Planned Perfection, Lake Grapevine Access, and One of DFW's Most Consistently Desirable Addresses

About Flower Mound, TX

Flower Mound is one of those cities that seems to get everything right. Located in southern Denton County along FM 2499 and FM 1171, roughly 25 miles northwest of Downtown Dallas and 20 miles northeast of Fort Worth, it occupies an enviable position in the metroplex — close enough to both major employment centers to function as a genuine commuter city, but developed with enough intentionality that it never feels like just another suburb.

The city takes its name from a 12.5-acre natural mound near the center of town — a landscape feature that was protected during development and still anchors the community's identity. That instinct to preserve rather than flatten has characterized Flower Mound's growth philosophy more broadly. The city adopted aggressive open space preservation policies during its rapid growth period in the 1990s and 2000s, with the result that roughly a third of Flower Mound's land area is permanently protected as parks, greenbelts, and natural areas. For a city of 80,000 people, that's extraordinary.

Lake Grapevine forms the southern border of the city — 8,000 acres of reservoir with marinas, hiking trails, and lake access that gives Flower Mound a recreational dimension most inland suburbs simply don't have.

Homes for Sale in Flower Mound, TX

Flower Mound's housing market reflects its premium positioning. This is not a market where you find significant value relative to the broader DFW metro — Flower Mound commands a price premium, and buyers who know the city understand why they're paying it.

Property types include:

  • Established single-family homes in master-planned communities like Wellington, Riverwalk, and Heritage Park, offering well-maintained neighborhoods with mature landscaping and strong HOA oversight
  • Luxury and estate homes along the lakefront and in gated communities, where lot premiums, custom finishes, and privacy combine to push pricing well into the seven figures
  • Move-up homes in the $600k–$900k range, which represent the largest segment of Flower Mound's active resale market and attract buyers from across the metroplex for the school district and lifestyle combination
  • New construction in a limited number of remaining parcels and planned developments, where builders deliver homes at price points that reflect Flower Mound's premium land values
  • Active adult communities in select sections of the city, serving longtime Flower Mound residents and move-in buyers seeking the city's amenities without the full-size home maintenance

Why Buyers Are Choosing Flower Mound

Flower Mound's buyer profile skews toward families who have done the research, know exactly what Lewisville ISD offers, and have decided the combination of schools, open space, and lakeside lifestyle is worth the price premium over comparable homes in nearby communities.

Top reasons buyers are making the move:

  • Lewisville ISD's Flower Mound feeder schools, with Flower Mound High School and Marcus High School both consistently ranked among the top high schools in Texas — a major driver of both buyer demand and long-term resale values
  • Lake Grapevine access, with Murrell Park, Twin Coves Park, and multiple boat launches giving residents recreational options that feel disproportionate to a suburban city of its size
  • An extraordinary parks and trail network — more than 50 parks and 123 miles of trails woven throughout the city, connected in ways that allow residents to genuinely live outdoors
  • Proximity to DFW International Airport, roughly 15 minutes away, which matters enormously to the significant number of Flower Mound residents who travel regularly for work
  • Strong long-term value retention driven by development constraints, school district reputation, and consistent demand from buyers who know the city — Flower Mound doesn't have the volatility of newer, faster-growing markets

Your Local Experts in Flower Mound Real Estate

Cindy and Cory Dunnican of The Dunnican Team at Coldwell Banker Apex, Realtors® have guided buyers and sellers across the DFW metroplex for more than 25 years. Flower Mound's market rewards agents who understand the neighborhood-by-neighborhood nuances, the school feeder boundaries, and the lake access premiums that can meaningfully affect pricing. Whether you're buying your first home in Flower Mound or selling an estate on the lake, they bring the local knowledge and strategic approach to navigate it effectively.

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